You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Summer Plate Preview
The Summer Plate is run at Market Rasen in July of each year. The race is a Group 3 Handicap Chase which is run over two miles, five and a half furlongs for runners aged four years old or older who will face a total of fourteen fences during the race.
Summer Plate Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Market Rasen, then head over to the Market Rasen tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.
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How competitive is the Summer Plate market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Summer Plate, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Summer Plate Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Summer Plate Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Summer Plate races over the last 20 renewals:
- More Bucks (5:15.90) in 2018
- Bobowen (5:16.20) in 2013
- Francky Du Berlais (5:16.40) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Summer Plate next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +0.23. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Summer Plate, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was More Bucks, trained by Peter Bowen and ridden by Sean Bowen, who set the fastest winning time in the Summer Plate. That runner won the race in a time of 5:15.90 in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Peter Bowen and jockey Paddy Merrigan with Iron Man who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 5:45.90 in the 2007 renewal.
Summer Plate Past Winners
Here are the Summer Plate past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Summer Plate are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:20.56 | Queensbury Boy (IRE) 7yo 10-12 15/2 | James Bowen Mickey Bowen (GB) |
| 2025 5:25.37 | Ballysax Hank (IRE) 6yo 10-5 9/4F | Harry Cobden Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2024 5:21.58 | Sure Touch (GB) 8yo 11-13 14/1 | Harry Cobden Olly Murphy (GB) |
| 2023 5:28.51 | Born Famous (IRE) 6yo 10-3 3/1F | Harry Cobden Iain Jardine (GB) |
| 2022 5:16.40 | Francky Du Berlais (FR) 9yo 12-0 5/1F | James Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2021 5:17.10 | Francky Du Berlais (FR) 8yo 10-13 11/1 | James Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2020 5:22.10 | Really Super (GB) 6yo 10-4 25/1 | Jack Quinlan Amy Murphy (GB) |
| 2019 5:28.70 | Casablanca Mix (FR) 7yo 11-6 5/1F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2018 5:15.90 | More Bucks (IRE) 8yo 10-5 6/1 | Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2017 5:21.30 | Alcala (FR) 7yo 11-7 9/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Summer Plate have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 49 placings from 289 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 10 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Summer Plate Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Summer Plate over the last 20 renewals is Peter Bowen, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Iron Man (2007), Snoopy Loopy (2008), More Bucks (2018) and Francky Du Berlais (2021 & 2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Summer Plate is Jonjo O'Neill (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Summer Plate; Alan King has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Summer Plate trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bowen | 34-5-12 | +14.00 | +12.27 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 20-2-6 | -12.50 | -3.93 |
| Paul Nicholls | 18-1-4 | -8.00 | -6.67 |
| Dan Skelton | 15-1-5 | -8.00 | -5.49 |
| David Pipe | 12-1-5 | -3.50 | +1.32 |
| Dr Richard Newland | 11-1-1 | -2.00 | -5.00 |
| Nicky Henderson | 7-1-3 | -1.00 | -0.06 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 5-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.63 |
| Mickey Bowen | 5-1-2 | +3.50 | +2.44 |
| Olly Murphy | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
Summer Plate Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Summer Plate over the last 20 renewals, with both James Bowen and Harry Cobden, who have both won the race three times. James Bowen's winners have been with Francky Du Berlais (2021 & 2022) and Queensbury Boy (2026). Harry Cobden's winners have been with Born Famous (2023), Sure Touch (2024) and Ballysax Hank (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Summer Plate is Sam Twiston-Davies (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Summer Plate jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Bowen | 7-3-5 | +19.50 | +13.89 |
| Harry Cobden | 7-3-3 | +15.25 | +8.04 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 12-2-3 | +7.00 | +2.26 |
| Harry Skelton | 11-1-5 | -4.00 | -1.49 |
| Sean Bowen | 10-1-3 | -3.00 | -1.62 |
| Jack Quinlan | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.63 |
| Nico de Boinville | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.13 |
| David Bass | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
| James Reveley | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| Conor O'Farrell | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.69 |
2027 Summer Plate Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 5, 1, (5, PU), PU, 2, (8, F), 1, 4, (1, 3), 3, 9, (1, PU), 12, 5, 1, 1, 10, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Break of 6 - 121 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Won within last 5 starts
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 12 of the market
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Won is not G1-2/LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Furthest Placed 2m4½f - 3m2½f
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 13 - 45 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Off a break of 6 - 86 days
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 2 - 24 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 3 - 21 races (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/GS/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 1m1f - 2m3f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -22l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 3 - 16 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Market Rasen racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Summer Plate. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Summer Plate by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Summer Plate Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Summer Plate will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Summer Plate Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.25, is when runners had 2 places in the past 90 days.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 180 days; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-57.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Summer Plate is Uttoxeter; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Uttoxeter last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Perth and Worcester; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 288 runners, while female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 12 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Summer Plate; that stallion, Saint Des Saints, has produced 2 winners (2022,2021).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Summer Plate despite multiple attempts:
- Court Cave (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Mahler (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- No Risk At All (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Really Super in 2020, winning for Amy Murphy at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jack Quinlan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Summer Plate, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? If you are interested in other races at the Market Rasen racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Summer Hurdle?
Route to the Summer Plate
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Summer Plate. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Queensbury Boy Uttoxeter - 8th of 13 (4/1) | bet365 Summer Cup Handicap Chase |
| 2025 - Ballysax Hank Bellewstown - 3rd of 16 (10/3) | QuinnBet Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle |
| 2024 - Sure Touch Perth - 1st of 5 (11/8) | Phil Nelson River Tay Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Born Famous Perth - 1st of 3 (1/3) | PKAVS Walled Garden And Wisecraft Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Francky Du Berlais Uttoxeter - 3rd of 16 (11/2) | bet365 Summer Cup |
| 2021 - Francky Du Berlais Cartmel - 3rd of 6 (9/4) | Oakmere Homes Handicap Chase |
| 2020 - Really Super Kempton (AW) - 2nd of 12 (16/1) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap |
| 2019 - Casablanca Mix Aintree - 1st of 6 (5/2) | racingtv.com Handicap Chase |
| 2018 - More Bucks Perth - 1st of 7 (11/4) | theenergycheck.co.uk Kilmany Handicap Chase |
| 2017 - Alcala Newton Abbot - 1st of 6 (11/2) | newtonabbotracing.com Handicap Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Summer Plate Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
