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- Pep Guardiola is the 11/4 favourite at BetVictor for the next permanent England manager role
- Eddie Howe sits next-best at 7/2, with Lee Carsley (6/1) and Mauricio Pochettino (8/1) filling out the top four
- Thomas Tuchel retains full FA backing and is expected to lead England into Euro 2028
Argentina Defeat Triggers Speculative Market Opening
BetVictor have priced up the next permanent England manager market following England's World Cup semi-final defeat to Argentina.
Thomas Tuchel retains the backing of the FA and will likely lead his team into their home European Championships in 2028.
The FA's public position remains that Tuchel is their man, and any pricing on his potential successor is bookmakers' pricing a hypothetical rather than a confirmed vacancy.
Pep Guardiola heads that speculative market at 11/4, with Eddie Howe next at 7/2.
Next Permanent England Manager Odds
| Next Permanent England Manager | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Pep Guardiola | 11/4 | 26.67% |
| Eddie Howe | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Lee Carsley | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Mauricio Pochettino | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Graham Potter | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Guardiola at 11/4 is The Availability Story
Pep Guardiola, sitting as the market's favourite at 11/4, is the piece of pricing that most clearly reflects the specific timing of this market.
Guardiola stepped down as Manchester City manager in May 2026 following a decade of unprecedented success, and his current status as one of world football's most decorated managers without a current club role puts him in an unusual position for the international manager market.
The Spanish manager has publicly indicated openness to international football at various points across recent years, and the England job, with a Euro 2028 tournament on home soil now within a two-year horizon, represents the type of specific project that historically catches his interest.
What the expert says...
The Chasing Pack
Lee Carsley at 6/1 has the most direct FA connection of any candidate on the board.
His interim tenure between Southgate's departure and Tuchel's appointment gives him institutional knowledge that no external candidate can match, and the 14.29% implied captures a market that sees him as a serious internal option even without treating him as the leading candidate.
Mauricio Pochettino at 8/1 (11.11% implied) represents an international candidate with a distinctive Premier League pedigree, and his experience with the USMNT may well help his cause.
Sweden boss Graham Potter at 12/1 (7.69% implied) rounds out the board as the outsider quote.
Where To Bet on Manager Markets
International football manager specials sit alongside club next manager markets as one of the more heavily traded football specials in the UK betting calendar.
The best football betting sites alongside BetVictor and other operators typically lead pricing on high-profile international manager stories.
