You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Kincsem Handicap Preview
A Class 2 handicap restricted to three-year-old runners, the Summer Vase Handicap, currently known as the Kincsem Handicap, takes place in July each year during the Glorious Goodwood festival. The race is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs and is run on the third day of the festival.
Kincsem Handicap Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Kincsem Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024, when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kincsem Handicap, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Kincsem Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Kincsem Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:
- Gibeon (2:03.67) in 2015
- Forest Of Dean (2:03.79) in 2019
- Beachfire (2:04.20) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kincsem Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -5.10. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Kincsem Handicap.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Gibeon, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Richard Hughes, who set the fastest winning time in the Kincsem Handicap. That runner won the race in a time of 2:03.67 in 2015. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer K R Burke and jockey Clifford Lee with Royal Rhyme who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:10.41 in the 2023 renewal.
Kincsem Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Kincsem Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kincsem Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:07.49 | Ciarrai Abu (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (2 of 14) 100/30F | George Wood Harry Eustace (GB) |
| 2025 2:04.99 | Best Secret (FR) 3yo 9-9 (2 of 18) 7/2F | James Doyle S Wattel (FR) |
| 2024 2:04.70 | Approval (GB) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 11/2 | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2023 2:10.41 | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 9/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.15 | Warren Point (GB) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:07.89 | Qaader (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (7 of 11) 8/1 | William Buick Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2020 2:06.12 | Junkanoo (GB) 3yo 8-0 (6 of 11) 50/1 | David Egan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2019 2:03.79 | Forest Of Dean (GB) 3yo 8-4 (5 of 11) 4/1F | Harry Bentley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:06.54 | Communique (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (4 of 12) 7/2F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 2:10.40 | Good Omen (GB) 3yo 9-1 (11 of 13) 8/1 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kincsem Handicap have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 44 placings from 275 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Kincsem Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Pipedreamer I (2007), Beachfire (2010) and Forest Of Dean (2019). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Kincsem Handicap. Richard Fahey has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Andrew Balding has sent out 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Kincsem Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 8-3-5 | +13.50 | +9.72 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 14-1-7 | -9.00 | -3.47 |
| William Haggas | 13-1-4 | -6.50 | -5.46 |
| Richard Hannon | 9-1-1 | +3.00 | -1.12 |
| Amanda Perrett | 7-1-2 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-1-3 | -1.50 | +1.56 |
| Gary Moore | 4-1-1 | +47.00 | +27.00 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.00 |
| K R Burke | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
| S Wattel | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.19 |
Kincsem Handicap Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Beachfire (2010), Grandeur (2012), Qaader (2021) and Warren Point (2022).
Here are some of the top Kincsem Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 12-4-6 | +21.50 | +13.49 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-1-7 | -9.00 | -4.27 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 11-1-3 | -6.50 | -5.61 |
| Franny Norton | 10-1-3 | -1.00 | +1.63 |
| James Doyle | 7-1-2 | -2.50 | -2.95 |
| David Egan | 6-1-4 | +45.00 | +29.89 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.70 |
| Harry Bentley | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | +3.90 |
| Neil Callan | 3-1-2 | +2.50 | +4.44 |
2027 Kincsem Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 3, 10, 1, 14, 5, 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, (1, 3), 10, (4, 6), 3, 11, 3, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 118 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/STD-FS (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 79+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Carried 121 - 133lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (60%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - No more than +16lbs (Vs Min Weight)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 17 / 20 (35%) - No bigger than 9/1
- 16 / 20 (40%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Career)
- 16 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 4/1 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Kincsem Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kincsem Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Kincsem Handicap Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +32.33, is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £5k when last winning; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-50.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 2 (7,5) [14 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 2 (7,8,17) [18 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 9 (13,4) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (1,5) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kincsem Handicap is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 271 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kincsem Handicap; that stallion, Cape Cross, has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kincsem Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Frankel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Kingman (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dubai Destination (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Junkanoo in 2020, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Kincsem Handicap
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Kincsem Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Ciarrai Abu Ascot - 1st of 11 (3/1) | JLL Handicap |
| 2025 - Best Secret Ascot - 3rd of 15 (4/1) | Golden Gates Stakes |
| 2024 - Approval Ascot - 7th of 12 (6/1) | Golden Gates Stakes |
| 2023 - Royal Rhyme Newbury - 11th of 14 (6/1) | London Gold Cup |
| 2022 - Warren Point Ascot - 2nd of 3 (5/2) | Magnum |
| 2021 - Qaader Newmarket (July) - 4th of 6 (4/1) | Newmarket Handicap Stakes |
| 2020 - Junkanoo Windsor - 4th of 8 (16/1) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap |
| 2019 - Forest Of Dean Newbury - 4th of 15 (7/2) | London Gold Cup |
| 2018 - Communique Newmarket (July) - 1st of 9 (8/1) | July Festival Handicap |
| 2017 - Good Omen Yarmouth - 1st of 7 (15/8) | Diomed Development Handicap |
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Al Aali (FR) 4yo - 11/2 | George Scott William Buick |
| Vintage Stakes | Dr Rascal (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Oliver Cole Kaiya Fraser |
| Lennox Stakes | Lake Forest (GB) 5yo - 10/11 | William Haggas Cieren Fallon |
| Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 4yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Glorious Goodwood 1m4f Handicap | Infraad (IRE) 3yo - 2/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Alice Keppel Fillies Conditions Stakes | Wild Blossom (IRE) 2yo - 5/4 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| Oak Tree Stakes | Flora Of Bermuda (IRE) 5yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| Molecomb Stakes | Pershaada (IRE) 2yo - 11/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| Sussex Stakes | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Kincsem Handicap | Ciarrai Abu (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Harry Eustace George Wood |
| Richmond Stakes | Mans Best Friend (IRE) 2yo - 11/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Gordon Stakes | Enceladus (IRE) 3yo - 6/4 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Nassau Stakes | Diamond Necklace (IRE) 3yo - 4/6 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Goodwood Handicap | Defiantly (FR) 4yo - 11/4 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Thoroughbred Stakes | Shayem (IRE) 3yo - 17/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Golden Mile Handicap | Archivist (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez |
| King George Stakes | American Affair (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Summer Handicap | Hopewell Rock (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | George Boughey Ryan Moore |
| Glorious Stakes | Enfjaar (IRE) 6yo - 8/1 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
| Lillie Langtry Stakes | Goodie Two Shoes (IRE) 7yo - 8/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Stewards Cup | Evening Saigon (IRE) 4yo - 16/1 | Hamad Al Jehani James Doyle |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Kincsem Handicap Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Goodwood racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
