You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Vintage Stakes Preview
First staged in 1975, the Vintage Stakes is a Group 2 race which is open to two-year-old runners and is run over seven furlongs and is scheduled to take place on the opening day of Glorious Goodwood in late July or early August.
Vintage Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood, then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Vintage Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Vintage Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Vintage Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Vintage Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Aomori City (1:25.13) in 2024
- War Decree (1:25.75) in 2016
- Rio De La Plata (1:26.05) in 2007
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Vintage Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.83. Ahead of the 2027 Vintage Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Aomori City, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick, who set the fastest winning time in the Vintage Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:25.13 in 2024. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Ralph Beckett and jockey Frankie Dettori with Angel Bleu who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:32.85 in the 2021 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Vintage Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Vintage Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Vintage Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:26.53 | Dr Rascal (GB) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 6) 13/2 | Kaiya Fraser Oliver Cole (GB) |
| 2025 1:26.43 | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo 9-6 (6 of 10) 8/1 | Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton (GB) |
| 2024 1:25.13 | Aomori City (FR) 2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 2/1F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:30.15 | Haatem (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:26.46 | Marbaan (GB) 2yo 9-3 (9 of 9) 14/1 | Jamie Spencer Charlie Fellowes (GB) |
| 2021 1:32.85 | Angel Bleu (FR) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2020 1:28.80 | Battleground (USA) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:27.03 | Pinatubo (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:28.23 | Dark Vision (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 100/30F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 1:26.97 | Expert Eye (GB) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 7/4F | Andrea Atzeni Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Vintage Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 29 placings from 152 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 15 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
2026 Vintage Stakes Replay
Vintage Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Highland Reel (2014), War Decree (2016) and Battleground (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Vintage Stakes is Charlie Appleby (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 12-3-6 | -4.96 | -2.59 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-2-6 | -1.50 | +1.27 |
| Richard Hannon | 15-1-3 | -11.75 | -9.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 7-1-2 | -5.38 | -4.46 |
| Hugo Palmer | 6-1-2 | -0.50 | -0.05 |
| Clive Cox | 5-1-2 | -0.50 | +0.10 |
| Ralph Beckett | 4-1-1 | +0.33 | -0.92 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 2-1-2 | +7.00 | +6.30 |
| Charlie Fellowes | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.40 |
| Oliver Cole | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
Vintage Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from War Decree (2016) and Battleground (2020).
Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-2-5 | -9.87 | -7.39 |
| William Buick | 10-1-5 | -7.00 | -1.97 |
| James Doyle | 8-1-3 | -5.50 | -4.51 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-1-2 | +8.00 | +4.65 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-1 | -1.67 | -3.00 |
| Sean Levey | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.65 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 2-1-1 | +0.75 | +0.05 |
| Charles Bishop | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
| Kaiya Fraser | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
| Oisin Murphy | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -6.15 |
2027 Vintage Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 6, 1, 5, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 5, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (63%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Break of 17 - 76 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in FRA/ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a G3/Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Won 5½f - 1m
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Career Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Vintage Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Vintage Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Vintage Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Vintage Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.49, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 season starts; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-21.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 6 (3,7) [10 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (9,7) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (4,7) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Vintage Stakes is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 168 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Vintage Stakes:
- Choisir (2 Wins)
- Oasis Dream (2 Wins)
- War Front (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marbaan in 2022, winning for Charlie Fellowes at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 13 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Vintage Stakes, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Vintage Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Vintage Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Dr Rascal Ascot - 1st of 8 (4/1) | Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes |
| 2025 - Zavateri Newmarket (July) - 1st of 6 (18/1) | July Stakes |
| 2024 - Aomori City Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 6 (7/1) | July Stakes |
| 2023 - Haatem Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 9 (19/2) | Superlative Stakes |
| 2022 - Marbaan Salisbury - 1st of 12 (10/11) | Byerley Stud British EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2021 - Angel Bleu Ascot - 2nd of 6 (4/1) | Pat Eddery Stakes |
| 2020 - Battleground Ascot - 1st of 8 (11/4) | Chesham Stakes |
| 2019 - Pinatubo Ascot - 1st of 14 (3/1) | Chesham Stakes |
| 2018 - Dark Vision York - 1st of 10 (9/2) | John Smiths Novice Median Auction Stakes |
| 2017 - Expert Eye Newbury - 1st of 9 (6/1) | Be Wiser Insurance Novice Stakes |
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Al Aali (FR) 4yo - 11/2 | George Scott William Buick |
| Vintage Stakes | Dr Rascal (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Oliver Cole Kaiya Fraser |
| Lennox Stakes | Lake Forest (GB) 5yo - 10/11 | William Haggas Cieren Fallon |
| Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 4yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Glorious Goodwood 1m4f Handicap | Infraad (IRE) 3yo - 2/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Alice Keppel Fillies Conditions Stakes | Wild Blossom (IRE) 2yo - 5/4 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| Oak Tree Stakes | Flora Of Bermuda (IRE) 5yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| Molecomb Stakes | Pershaada (IRE) 2yo - 11/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| Sussex Stakes | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Kincsem Handicap | Ciarrai Abu (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Harry Eustace George Wood |
| Richmond Stakes | Mans Best Friend (IRE) 2yo - 11/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Gordon Stakes | Enceladus (IRE) 3yo - 6/4 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Nassau Stakes | Diamond Necklace (IRE) 3yo - 4/6 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Goodwood Handicap | Defiantly (FR) 4yo - 11/4 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Thoroughbred Stakes | Shayem (IRE) 3yo - 17/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Golden Mile Handicap | Archivist (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez |
| King George Stakes | American Affair (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Summer Handicap | Hopewell Rock (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | George Boughey Ryan Moore |
| Glorious Stakes | Enfjaar (IRE) 6yo - 8/1 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
| Lillie Langtry Stakes | Goodie Two Shoes (IRE) 7yo - 8/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Stewards Cup | Evening Saigon (IRE) 4yo - 16/1 | Hamad Al Jehani James Doyle |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Vintage Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Goodwood racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
